Remembrance of Things Not Quite Past
Memory is a dynamic, reconstructive process influenced by narrative and causality, not a static recording. We involuntarily revise memories to fit later knowledge, causing hindsight bias and unreliable recollections.
THE IDEA
REMEMBRANCE OF THINGS NOT QUITE PAST
Our tendencies to perceive—to impose—narrativity and causality are symptoms of the same disease: dimension reduction. Moreover, like causality, narrativity has a chronological dimension and leads to the perception of the flow of time. Causality makes time flow in a single direction, and so does narrativity.
But memory and the arrow of time can get mixed up. Narrativity can viciously affect the remembrance of past events as follows: we will tend to more easily remember those facts from our past that fit a narrative, while we tend to neglect others that do not appear to play a causal role in that narrative. Consider that we recall events in our memory all the while knowing the answer of what happened subsequently. It is literally impossible to ignore posterior information when solving a problem. This simple inability to remember not the true sequence of events but a reconstructed one will make history appear in hindsight to be far more explainable than it actually was—or is.
Conventional wisdom holds that memory is like a serial recording device like a computer diskette. In reality, memory is dynamic—not static—like a paper on which new texts (or new versions of the same text) will be continuously recorded, thanks to the power of posterior information. (In a remarkable insight, the nineteenth-century Parisian poet Charles Baudelaire compared our memory to a palimpsest, a type of parchment on which old texts can be erased and new ones written over them.) Memory is more of a self-serving dynamic revision machine: you remember the last time you remembered the event and, without realizing it, change the story at every subsequent remembrance.
So we pull memories along causative lines, revising them involuntarily and unconsciously. We continuously renarrate past events in the light of what appears to make what we think of as logical sense after these events occur.
By a process called reverberation, a memory corresponds to the strengthening of connections from an increase of brain activity in a given sector of the brain—the more activity, the stronger the memory. While we believe that the memory is fixed, constant, and connected, all this is very far from truth. What makes sense according to information obtained subsequently will be remembered more vividly. We invent some of our memories—a sore point in courts of law since it has been shown that plenty of people have invented child-abuse stories by dint of listening to theories.
When to use it
Evaluating the reliability of eyewitness testimony in legal proceedings.
Improving self-awareness by questioning the accuracy of personal memories in therapy or coaching.
Analyzing historical accounts: recognizing that narratives are often shaped by hindsight.
Decision-making audits: reviewing past decisions with the understanding that memories of events may be biased.
FROM THEORY TO EVERYDAY LIFE
In practice
Fabricated Abuse Memories in Court
Taleb cites false abuse memories as an example of later information reshaping recollection. The excerpt gives no individual case details; its point is that a vivid recollection can still require corroboration.
Recalling Past Predictions
Consider an investor who remembers always being confident about a successful stock pick, but actually had doubts initially. Hindsight bias reconstructs the memory to fit the favorable outcome.
A MOMENT TO REFLECT
Put it to work.
Think of a past event where your recollection changed after learning the outcome—how did your memory shift to fit a narrative?
In what ways might your own memories be influenced by the stories you tell yourself and others?
How can awareness of reconstructive memory affect your trust in eyewitness testimony or personal recollections?
CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION
Source texts
- The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable With a new section On Robustness and Fragility (Nassim Nicholas Taleb)