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Mental Models

We Make Unconscious Trade-Offs

People unconsciously trade off between truth-seeking (scout mindset) and other goals such as social belonging, persuasion, and morale (soldier mindset), often prioritizing emotional or social needs over accuracy.

THE IDEA

WE MAKE UNCONSCIOUS TRADE-OFFS

This is one of the paradoxes of being human: that our beliefs serve such different purposes all at once. Invariably, we end up making trade-offs.

We trade off between judgment and belonging. If you live in a tight-knit community, it might be easier to fit in if you use soldier mindset to fight off any doubts you have about your community’s core beliefs and values. On the other hand, if you do allow yourself to entertain those doubts, you might realize you’re better off rejecting your community’s views on morality, religion, or gender roles, and deciding to live a less traditional life.

We trade off between judgment and persuasion. A friend of mine used to work at a well-known charity and marveled at how its president was able to convince himself that every dollar in the budget was well spent, so that he could make that case to potential donors. On the other hand, the president’s self-deception also made him unwilling to cut failing programs—because in his mind, they weren’t failing. “You would have a real debate on your hands trying to prove to him something that was so obvious,” my friend recalled. In this case, soldier mindset made the president better at persuading people to give him money, but worse at deciding how to use that money.

We trade off between judgment and morale. When you come up with a plan, focusing only on its positives (“This is such a great idea!”) can help you work up enthusiasm and motivation to carry it out. On the other hand, if you scrutinize your plan for flaws (“What are the downsides? How might this fail?”), you’re more likely to notice if there’s a better plan you should switch to instead.

We make these trade-offs, and many more, all the time, usually without even realizing we’re doing so. After all, the whole point of self-deception is that it’s occurring beneath our conscious awareness. If you were to find yourself thinking, explicitly, “Should I admit to myself that I screwed up?” the issue would already be moot. So it’s left up to our unconscious minds to choose, on a case-by-case basis, which goals to prioritize. Sometimes we choose soldier mindset, furthering our emotional or social goals at the expense of accuracy. Sometimes we choose scout mindset, seeking out the truth even if it turns out not to be what we were hoping for.

And sometimes our unconscious minds attempt to have it both ways. When I used to teach educational workshops, I made a point of checking in with my students to find out how things were going for them. I knew that if a student was confused or unhappy, it was better to find out sooner rather than later, so I could try to fix the problem. Seeking out feedback has never been easy for me, so I was proud of myself for doing the virtuous thing this time.

At least, I was proud, until I realized something I was doing that had previously escaped my notice. Whenever I asked a student, “So, are you enjoying the workshop?” I would begin nodding, with an encouraging smile on my face, as if to say, The answer is yes, right? Please say yes. Clearly, my desire to protect my self-esteem and happiness was in competition with my desire to learn about problems so that I could fix them. That memory of myself requesting honest feedback while nodding encouragingly and asking leading questions is now imprinted on my brain—the tension between the soldier and scout in a single image.

When to use it

  • In a business meeting, when presenting a plan, one might overemphasize positives to build morale but ignore potential risks.

  • In personal relationships, one might avoid acknowledging a partner's flaws to maintain harmony, but this prevents addressing underlying issues.

  • When evaluating one's own performance, one might rationalize mistakes to protect self-esteem, hindering personal growth.

  • In educational settings, teachers might seek feedback but unintentionally discourage honest criticism through their body language.

FROM THEORY TO EVERYDAY LIFE

In practice

01

Trade-off between judgment and belonging

In a tight-knit community, using soldier mindset to suppress doubts about core beliefs helps fit in, but entertaining those doubts might lead to rejecting traditional views and living a less traditional life.

02

Trade-off between judgment and persuasion

A charity president convinced himself every dollar was well spent to persuade donors, but this self-deception prevented him from cutting failing programs.

03

Trade-off between judgment and morale

When planning, focusing only on positives builds enthusiasm but overlooks flaws; scrutinizing flaws may reveal better alternatives.

04

Personal example: asking for feedback while nodding

The author requested honest feedback from students but nodded encouragingly and asked leading questions, revealing a conflict between seeking truth and protecting self-esteem.

✳

A MOMENT TO REFLECT

Put it to work.

  1. Think of a recent decision where you might have prioritized social belonging over accuracy. How did that affect the outcome?

  2. Can you recall a situation where you used soldier mindset to persuade others? Were you aware of any self-deception?

  3. How can you train yourself to recognize when you are making an unconscious trade-off between your emotional goals and the truth?

Connected ideas

Another lens can bring the same problem into focus.

CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION

Source texts

  • The Scout Mindset (Julia Galef)
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